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If I’m Not Certain, I’m Not Wrong

I used to approach uncertainty as though it meant I was missing something.

If I couldn’t tell exactly what the market was going to do, I felt like I didn’t understand the chart well enough.

So I’d keep analyzing.

Another timeframe. Another level. Another clue.

Surely eventually the market would tell me the answer.

Except that’s not what trading is.

There isn’t an answer waiting to be discovered. There is evidence, probability, risk and an outcome I cannot control.

That has required a surprisingly big mental shift for me.

I don’t need to know what’s going to happen next.

I need to gather enough evidence to decide whether the risk is worth taking.

Those are very different jobs.

So I’ve started reminding myself:

If I’m not certain, I’m not wrong. I’m still gathering evidence.

Uncertainty isn’t evidence that I’m failing.

It’s simply the environment I’m learning to operate in.

I’m a retail trader learning to trade with more discipline, less emotion, and a lot more self-awareness. Small Fry Trades is where I document the part of trading that doesn’t always make it onto the chart. The hesitation, overthinking, broken rules, small wins, hard lessons, and gradual shift toward trusting a process instead of chasing a result. I’m not here to teach you how to get rich trading. I’m here to share what I’m learning while trying to become the best version of myself. Trading just so happens to be one of my paths to self growth. No Lambos. No promises. Just the process.